A synthetic-audience simulator

A synthetic-audience simulatorA weighted panel of synthetic personas estimates reaction, audited against its own bias before it is trusted.Tests a hypothesis against statistically weighted synthetic personas in panels of 128, 256, or 512, with a bias gate that blocks publication when model-only and corrected estimates diverge by more than 10 percentage points. Runs are manifest-reproducible with signed briefs.Key facts

128 / 256 / 512: synthetic panel sizes

>10pp: divergence threshold that blocks publication without override

Manifest-reproducible: every run checkpointed by seed, versions, snapshot hash, prompt hash

Signed briefs: outputs can be cryptographically signed once past the bias gate

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